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An assessment of the risk of hazardous materials release during earthquake - the impact on surrounding communities

Eguchi,R.T., Tierney,K.J., Antonopolis,R.A.

Proceedings of Ninth World Conference on Earthquake Engineering

545-550, 1988/08

The University of Southern California, with a subcontract to Dames & Moore, is performing a research study to investigate the risk of hazardous materials release during earthquake and the impact such releases would have on surrounding communities. the study focuses on the greater Los Angeles area. The specific goals of the project are to:

1. Estimate the probability of hazardous materials releases that could pose a threat to area residents following a major southern California earthquake.

2. Estimate the size of the population that would be affected by earthquake-caused hazardous materials releases.

3. Describe hazard mitigation policies and emergency policy and management options in the area.

4. Outline potentially effective and acceptable policy and management options in this area.

This paper describes the chemical facility models that have been developed to date and presents materials on liekly failure modes and probabilities in chemical processing and storage/transfer facilities. The paper closes with a discussion of plans for later phases of the project. The project is sponsored by the National Science Foundation, Grant No. ECE-8600292.

Tokyo-Kyoto, Japan

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